Will Holiday Spending Outpace Inflation?
December 2, 2024
Retail spending during the winter holiday months of November and December accounts for about 19% of total annual retail spending and is even more significant for some retail sectors.
In 2023, consumers spent $964.4 billion on retail goods and services during the holiday months. This was a 3.8% increase over 2022 and above the 3.4% rate of general inflation. Over the last decade, holiday spending has usually outpaced inflation, sometimes by a wide margin. With inflation slowing in 2024, this trend could continue.
2014
- Holiday spending growth – about 5%
- General inflation – about 1%
2015
- Holiday spending growth – about 3%
- General inflation – about 0.75%
2016
- Holiday spending growth – about 3%
- General inflation – about 2%
2017
- Holiday spending growth – about 5%
- General inflation – about 2%
2018
- Holiday spending growth – about 2%
- General inflation – about 2%
2019
- Holiday spending growth – about 4%
- General inflation – about 2.5%
2020
- Holiday spending growth – about 9%
- General inflation – about 1%
2021
- Holiday spending growth – about 12.5%
- General inflation – about 7%
2022
- Holiday spending growth – about 6.5%
- General inflation – about 5.5%
2023
- Holiday spending growth – about 4%
- General inflation – about 4%
Sources: National Retail Federation (NRF), January 17, 2024; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2024 (In calculating retail sales, the NRF includes stores, online, and other non-store sales but excludes automotive dealers, gas stations, and restaurants.)
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