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Economy Staying Strong

January 4, 2024

After a worrisome decline in the first half of 2022 — which sparked fears of a recession — U.S. inflation-adjusted gross domestic product (real GDP) has grown steadily. The third quarter of 2023 showed the strongest growth since the post-pandemic bounceback.

Current-dollar (nominal) GDP measures the total market value of goods and services produced in the United States at current prices. By adjusting for inflation, real GDP provides a more accurate comparison over time, making its rate of change a preferred indicator of the nation’s economic health.

Quarterly change in U.S. real GDP

2021

  • Q1: 5.2%
  • Q2: 6.2%
  • Q3: 3.3%
  • Q4: 7.0%

2022

  • Q1: -2.0%
  • Q2: -0.6%
  • Q3: 2.7%
  • Q4: 2.6%

2023

  • Q1: 2.2%
  • Q2: 2.1%
  • Q3: 4.9%

Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, 2023 (seasonally adjusted at annual rates; Q3 2023 based on advance estimate)

 

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